Slovakia Heads to the Polls: What’s at Stake for Ukraine and the EU?
Introduction
Slovakia is preparing for a general election that could have significant implications for Ukraine and the European Union (EU). The leading contender for the position of prime minister has strongly criticized Ukraine and the EU’s anti-Russian stance on the war. This has raised concerns about Slovakia’s support for Ukraine and its role in the EU.
The Election and Key Issues
Slovakia, a country with a population of 5.4 million, has been a loyal supporter of Ukraine since Russia’s invasion in 2014. However, the leader of the Smer party, Robert Fico, who has served as prime minister in the past, has promised to change this support. Recent polls suggest a close race between Smer and the rival Progressive Slovakia party, with no party expected to secure a majority in the 150-seat parliament.
Aside from Ukraine, voters are also concerned about issues such as inflation, the cost of living, migration, healthcare, and political instability.
The Potential Impact of Fico’s Leadership
Fico’s return to power could have significant geopolitical consequences for both the EU and NATO member Slovakia. This comes at a time when Ukraine is worried about losing support from some of its allies.
Fico’s Controversial Stance on Ukraine
Fico has been known for his socially conservative, nationalist, and anti-immigration views. His position on Ukraine has been extreme compared to other EU leaders. He has blamed Ukraine for the conflict with Russia, accused Slovakia’s president of being a U.S. agent, criticized the EU as a “war machine under the influence of the USA,” and argued against weapons deliveries to Ukraine.
Potential Impact on Ukraine
Despite Fico’s rhetoric, experts believe that his influence on Ukraine may be limited. Slovakia has a limited stock of weapons available for transfer, and Fico is unlikely to cut arms deliveries due to the economic significance of the arms industry. Fico has shown pragmatism in the past and has avoided conflicts with EU and NATO partners.
Wider Implications
Fico’s shift in rhetoric could undermine international solidarity with Ukraine. Slovakia’s relations with Ukraine have already soured amid a dispute over agricultural trade. This has led to import bans on Ukrainian products by Slovakia, Poland, and Hungary. There is concern that these political dynamics may influence Ukraine’s position in negotiations with Russia.
Furthermore, the rise of populist parties skeptical of Ukraine support in countries like Germany, France, and Spain could impact Ukraine’s position and the EU’s unified foreign policy.
