The Turkish newspaper Hurriyet reported that an earthquake is expected, according to experts, in the city of Istanbul, its losses will exceed those recorded in the southeast of the country, and it will have catastrophic economic and social consequences.
And the newspaper wrote today, Friday, that: “According to seismologists, the expected earthquake in Istanbul will outweigh the losses that have occurred in Kahramanmaras, in terms of damage caused to them, as well as economic and social consequences. In other words, the earthquake that occurred in Kahramanmaras is almost an earthquake rehearsal.” Istanbul”.
The newspaper added that reports indicate that Istanbul has 1,164,000 buildings and 4.5 million apartments, each housing an average of 3.3 people.
In an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater, 13,492,000 buildings are expected to be severely damaged, 39,325,000 buildings to be severely damaged, 136,746,000 buildings to be moderately damaged, and 300,963,000 buildings to be slightly damaged.
And continued: “In the scenario of an earthquake with a magnitude of 7.5 or higher, the fact that the number of apartments that are expected to suffer serious and serious damage is more than 211,000 gives an idea of the losses that apartments will suffer on average 1. 3 people. There are 255 thousand buildings in Istanbul built before 1980. Of these, 538 thousand buildings were built between 1980 and 2000, and 376 thousand buildings were built after 2000.
It is reported that after the 1999 Kocaeli earthquake, 70 percent of the buildings were built in Istanbul, that is, before 2000. Just because 30 percent of them were built after 2000 doesn’t mean they’re unsafe.
During the earthquake in Kahramanmaras, we also saw luxury complexes built several years ago as “earthquake resistant” and inhabited by hundreds of people. There are buildings that were called earthquake-resistant residential complexes, which were planned according to the rules of seismic resistance, collapsed during construction.
A number of Turkish seismologists have recently predicted a devastating earthquake in Istanbul, where scientists mention that the city is located at the intersection of the Anatolian and Eurasian tectonic plates, 15-20 kilometers south of that part of the North Anatolian fault that runs under the Sea of Marmara. This is what predetermines the seismic threat.
A devastating earthquake measuring 7.7 on the Richter scale struck southern Turkey and northern Syria at dawn on Monday, February 6, aftershocks reached other countries in the region and were felt in Lebanon, Iraq and Egypt.